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A Winter to Test the Folklore?

 
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Rhodie



Joined: 14 Sep 2005

Posts: 425
Location: Rhode Hill, Uplyme

PostPosted: 10/11/07, 09:49    Post subject: A Winter to Test the Folklore? Reply with quote

Time for winter predictions. Many would say that nature is predicting a severe winter ahead. This autumn migratory birds, including siskins, redwings and fieldfares, arrived early and in increased numbers for this time of year. In fact fieldfares have been particularly low in numbers or none existent in recent mild winters. Also hedgerows, at least those that have not been flailed into not flowering, have been laden with the fruits of hawthorn, blackthorn and elder, some would say to feed the birds in the coming artic conditions.

If we now get another mild winter this old folklore can be given the heave-ho for good.

What do you think of these old folk predictions?
Is there some truth in them or are they merely a reflection of the past such as good weather when the trees were in flower, an indication of a good breeding season of the migrants or a failure of food species in their home territories or a combination of both?

What makes our weather so interesting and such a talking point is its unpredictability. There is every indication that climate change will make it even more so. For instance just as I was expecting October to be the wettest month of the years for the fourth consecutive year we had the driest October since I began keeping records in 1994. The average October rainfall for the years 2000/6 was 149.1 mm. This October’s rainfall of 39.1 mm is just 26.3% of that average. Full details of October’s rainfall and much more can be accessed on:

http://homepages.nildram.co.uk/~rhg/2007/oct2007.html
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